Sky Blog
Prediction markets allow participants to trade contracts on whether or not real-world events will occur. These platforms have grown rapidly, and contracts tied to specific company activity are now actively trading, including contracts on IPOs, mergers and acquisitions, earnings call …
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC or the Commission), under Chairman Michael Selig’s leadership, has taken an expansive view of its authority over prediction markets, arguing that the agency has exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts traded on designated contract …
Can I bet on a prediction market on whether the U.S. will bomb Iran before a specified date? Or, can I similarly bet there on whether the Ayatollah will be ousted from office (including as the result of his death …
In the summer of 2025, shares of Robinhood hit an all-time high following the announcement of ambitious plans from the e-trading giant to expand its financial services. The plans involve launching new initiatives, including Robinhood Strategies, Robinhood Banking, a …
In a new article, we investigate how prediction markets—digital platforms designed originally for distilling dispersed knowledge into accurate forecasts—are steadily morphing into what look and feel like online gambling venues. That shift creates a regulatory puzzle, with consequences for market …